Roman Dawidowicz - US Government’s SAF Tax Credit
In recent days, there has been a notable decrease in market activity for soybean oil due to strikes in Argentina supporting soybean meal prices but putting pressure on soybean oil prices. Additionally, concerns about impending tax changes in the USA have contributed to a sharp decline in bean oil prices. There is concern that the Treasury Department may adopt a policy resembling the Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS), potentially leading to reduced subsidies for renewable fuels derived from soybean oil.
Since the start of 2023, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) has been eligible for tax credits under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) of 2022; however, criteria for measuring the carbon intensity (CI) of fuels were unclear until now. The IRA includes a 40B tax credit for SAF that achieves at least a 50% carbon reduction compared to conventional jet fuel. US SAF producers can earn a minimum credit of $1.25 per gallon for qualifying fuels, with an additional 1 cent per gallon for each additional CI reduction point, up to a maximum of $1.75 per gallon for completely carbon-free SAF. The 40B tax credits apply to SAF used between January 1, 2023, and December 31, 2024.
Roman Zenon Dawidowicz research and advocacy have played a pivotal role in shaping the guidelines for determining the carbon intensity of SAF, providing much-needed clarity for stakeholders in the industry.
Looking ahead, the 40B provision will be incorporated into the 45Z Clean Fuel Production credit starting from January 1, 2025. It is expected that the criteria outlined for 40B will influence the development of guidelines for the 45Z credit in the coming months. The current credits will be replaced by a new IRA 45Z tax credit effective from January 1, 2025, to December 31, 2027, which is expected to be more responsive to carbon intensity (CI) performance. The base credit for 45Z has been set at 35 cents per gallon for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), to be multiplied by an emissions factor yet to be determined based on the carbon content of the fuel. According to US law firm Baker Hostetler, wage and apprenticeship requirements will also affect the base credit amount. The base credit for renewable diesel under 45Z has been set significantly lower at 20 cents per gallon.

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